Van Beek's blog

What is ahead for the US Dollar given the large Current Account Deficit

The Current Account deficit for the US is at this moment $123 billion per quarter and 3.3% of GDP. This is less than the 6% in 2006 but still at a level that most economists consider to be unsustainable in the long term. The decline is probably caused by the economic situation and could be temporary. So, what does this mean and what is ahead for the US?

In this article we focus on what the consequences could be for the US given its large Current Account deficit and the factors that are driving this deficit.

 

Be aware of the impact of the Current Account deficit on the future of the Dollar

 

Four Possible Drivers for Large Current Account Deficits like in the US

Large Current Account deficits are rarely a positive symptom. They reflect often an underlying economic situation that can be unsustainable. The US has a large Current Account deficit. What are the possible drivers for such a large deficit?

This article focuses on the economic symptoms or situations that could lead to a large Current Account deficit.

 

Drivers for Large Current Acocunt Deficits cause Unbalance

 

How a Current Account Surplus can lead to a Weak Chinese Currency

Central Banks have few options to manage the currency in case of a Current Account deficit. Such a deficit is financed by a Capital Account Surplus. This can be done via higher incoming investments or lower foreign currency reserves. In case of Current Account surplus, the Central Bank will have the option to keep its currency artificial low in the eyes of the rest of the world. How does that work?

This article focuses on the impact of a deficit or surplus of the Current Account on the Capital Account and the domestic currency.

 

 Current Account Surpluses and Weak Currencies

 

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